Significant Upside in Transmission Capital Expenditure Plan
FirstEnergy expects a 20% increase in transmission CapEx, from $2.4 billion to $3.4 billion annually, driven by data center load growth and open window opportunities in PJM.
The upside includes both the PJM open window and incremental data center investments, with potential for further upside as new contracts are signed.
Management emphasizes that the increase is based on line-of-sight and contracted projects, not frivolous additions, indicating confidence in future growth opportunities.
CenterPoint Energy reported diluted GAAP earnings per share of $0.30 and non-GAAP EPS of $0.29 for Q2 2025, compared to $0.36 non-GAAP EPS in Q2 2024.
Equity issuances of $500 million last year, including a $250 million pull forward, resulted in a $0.01 unfavorable variance quarter-over-quarter.
The first half of 2025 non-GAAP EPS is approximately 46% of the midpoint of the full year guidance range of $1.74 to $1.76, in line with expectations.
Through the first half of 2025, $2.4 billion of base capital work was invested, on track to meet the revised 2025 capital investment target of $5.3 billion.
Trailing 12-month adjusted FFO to debt ratio was 14.1% at quarter end, with credit metrics expected to strengthen through the year.
Unfavorable variances included $0.01 from rate recovery netted with depreciation and taxes, $0.03 from O&M due to accelerated vegetation management, and $0.03 from higher interest expense and financing costs.
Weather and usage contributed a favorable $0.01 variance, mainly from Houston Electric's warmer start to 2025 compared to 2024.
Strategic Shift Toward Inorganic Growth and M&A Opportunities
The company has a record-high backlog of potential acquisitions valued at over $8 billion, covering various structures, basins, and scales.
Management emphasizes long-term value creation through acquisitions, with a focus on long-dated inventory providing resilience against short-term price volatility.
The company is involved in more than 10 ongoing M&A processes, including gas-related opportunities, co-bids, and non-op packages, indicating a strategic pivot towards consolidation.
They see inorganic activity as more controllable and predictable, with a higher potential for long-term returns, especially in a volatile price environment.