KOS (2025 - Q2)

Release Date: Aug 04, 2025

...

Stock Data provided by Financial Modeling Prep

Current Financial Performance

Kosmos Energy Q2 2025 Financial Highlights

64,800 BOE/day
Net Production
$170M
CapEx H1 2025
$350M
Full Year CapEx Guidance
Generating at current prices
Free Cash Flow

Key Financial Metrics

GTA Project Production Q2 2025

7,000 BOE/day

3.5 gross LNG cargoes lifted

Ghana Net Production Q2 2025

29,100 BOE/day

Jubilee Gross Production Q2 2025

55,000 barrels/day

Lower due to 9 days FPSO shutdown and riser instability

Gulf of America Net Production Q2 2025

19,600 BOE/day

Equatorial Guinea Net Production Q2 2025

8,000 BOE/day

OpEx per BOE Excluding GTA Q2 2025

Higher than Q1 2025

G&A Expenses Q2 2025

Lower than Q1 2025

Period Comparison Analysis

CapEx H1 2025 vs H1 2024

$170M
Current
Previous:$486M
65% YoY

Full Year CapEx Guidance 2025 vs 2024

$350M
Current
Previous:$750M
53.3% YoY

Jubilee Gross Production Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024

55,000 barrels/day
Current
Previous:62,000 barrels/day

Gulf of America Net Production Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024

19,600 BOE/day
Current
Previous:N/A

Financial Health & Ratios

Hedging Coverage 2025

5M barrels at $62-$77 per barrel

Hedging Coverage 2026

7M barrels at $66-$75 per barrel

Debt Facility

$250M term loan secured

To repay 2026 bond maturity

Financial Guidance & Outlook

Free Cash Flow Target

$100M per $5 oil price above $50-$55

Normalized breakeven $50-$55 per barrel

CapEx Guidance 2026

Around $350M

Sustainable with growth

Jubilee Wells Drilling

3-4 wells/year to sustain production

First new well online July 2025

Surprises

Production Miss at Jubilee

55,000 barrels of oil per day (gross)

Jubilee gross production of around 55,000 barrels of oil per day was lower than expected in the second quarter, driven by 9 days of planned FPSO shutdown and riser instability.

CapEx Reduction

$350 million full year guidance

With a sharp focus on CapEx in 2025, we've reduced our full year CapEx forecast from around $400 million to around $350 million.

GTA FLNG Commercial Operations Date Achieved

June 2025

In June, we announced the Gimi floating LNG vessel had achieved Commercial Operations Date, a key milestone for the GTA project.

Equatorial Guinea Production Below Expectations

Just under 8,000 barrels of oil per day

Net production was just under 8,000 barrels of oil per day, lower than expectations due to some subsea pump mechanical failures at Ceiba.

Impact Quotes

Jubilee is a big field that we expect will get bigger through regular drilling supported by new imaging and reservoir management technology.

Our near-term focus is on growing production, reducing costs and enhancing the resilience of the balance sheet, and we're making good progress in all three areas.

With our CapEx and NOC funding winding down and production increasing, at current oil prices, we are generating free cash flow.

The license extensions on Jubilee and TEN are aligned with the government's agenda to reinvigorate the oil and gas sector in Ghana with increased investment.

We have agreed indicative terms for a senior secured term loan for up to $250 million, which we anticipate using to repay the outstanding 2026 unsecured notes.

We're exploring alternative lower-cost operating models at GTA, including refinancing the FPSO lease, to drive down costs further.

The improved imaging of the new seismic data provides greater visibility and understanding of deeper potential in Jubilee.

Our view is to bring the breakeven for the business down to the $50 to $55 per barrel range, targeting about $100 million of free cash flow for every $5 above that.

Notable Topics Discussed

  • Gimi FLNG achieved COD in late June, marking a key milestone for the GTA project.
  • Targeting full capacity of 2.7 million tonnes per annum in Q4 2025.
  • Lifted 6.5 gross cargoes year-to-date, with expected increase in production during winter months.
  • Signed an MOU with Ghanaian government to extend licenses to 2040, enabling long-term investment.
  • Plan to drill up to 20 wells, with a focus on optimizing resource recovery using new seismic data.
  • Long-term investment aims to maximize reserves and production, with a focus on data-driven well targeting.
  • First seismic acquired since 2017 using 4D narrow-azimuth seismic, improving reservoir imaging.
  • Coupling seismic data with AI-driven interpretation to identify undrilled lobes and unswept oil.
  • Plans to acquire Ocean Bottom Node (OBN) seismic later in 2025 to further refine reservoir models and optimize drilling.
  • Exploring lower-cost operating models, including potential refinancing of FPSO lease.
  • Targeting to reduce start-up and commissioning costs in Q4 2025.
  • Ongoing discussions with operators to improve cost competitiveness and achieve nameplate capacity.
  • Production declined from over 100,000 bpd in 2024 to around 55,000 bpd in 2Q 2025 due to facility issues and natural decline.
  • Implementing riser-based gas lift to stabilize and restore production, with plans for western side wells.
  • Regular drilling of 3-4 wells annually to offset decline and support long-term field growth.
  • Achieved upper-end production guidance driven by strong output from Odd Job and Kodiak fields.
  • Winterfell #4 well drilled and expected online late 3Q 2025, contributing ~1,000 boe/d.
  • Progressing development plans for Tiberius with FID targeted for 2026, supported by new seismic data.
  • President of Senegal highlighted Kosmos' role in discovering GTA and emphasized U.S. investment importance.
  • Ongoing collaboration with Tullow on seismic and development plans in the Gulf of America.
  • Long-term license extension and potential gas sales agreements with Senegal, Mauritania, or third parties.
  • Agreed indicative terms for a $250 million secured term loan against Gulf of America assets to repay 2026 bonds.
  • Progressing additional financing options for longer-dated maturities, including potential early bond retirements.
  • Enhanced hedging strategy with 7 million barrels hedged for 2026, and plans to hedge 50% of 2026 production.
  • Reduced full-year CapEx guidance from $400 million to $350 million, focusing on cash flow generation.
  • Long-term projects like Tiberius and Phase 1 plus are being carefully phased, with FID for Tiberius expected in 2026.
  • Alignment with partners on brownfield expansion of GTA to double production capacity at minimal additional investment.
  • Use of advanced seismic and reservoir modeling to maximize recovery in Jubilee.
  • Regular seismic updates and new imaging technologies to support well targeting and reservoir understanding.
  • Focus on maintaining high facility uptime and optimizing water injection to sustain production levels.

Key Insights:

  • Full year 2025 CapEx guidance lowered to around $350 million from $400 million, reflecting slower longer-term investments and prioritization of free cash flow.
  • GTA production is forecasted to reach nameplate capacity of 2.7 million tonnes per annum in the fourth quarter with 20 gross cargoes expected for the full year.
  • Kosmos aims to sustain CapEx around $350 million in 2026, primarily driven by drilling programs, with larger project spend expected in 2027-2028.
  • License extensions in Ghana to 2040 enable long-term investment and drilling programs to maximize field value.
  • Long-term growth opportunities include GTA Phase 1 plus brownfield expansion, consistent drilling at Jubilee supported by new seismic data, and advancing development projects in the Gulf of America such as Tiberius and Gettysburg.
  • Production is expected to continue rising quarter-over-quarter into 2026 driven by GTA ramp-up to FLNG nameplate capacity, additional wells at Jubilee and Winterfell, and replacement pumps at Ceiba.
  • Refinancing of the GTA FPSO lease is targeted for completion in the second half of 2025 to reduce operating costs.
  • The partnership targets hedging approximately 50% of 2026 oil production by year-end, with 7 million barrels already hedged.
  • Advancing Tiberius development with Oxy, targeting FID next year supported by new OBN seismic data.
  • Drilling program optimized by accelerating rig maintenance to enable a second producer well this year, replacing a planned injector.
  • Gettysburg project progressed with Shell as 75% partner and operator, focusing on low-cost single well development tied back to Appomattox platform.
  • Gimi FLNG vessel achieved Commercial Operations Date (COD) in June, marking a key milestone for the GTA project.
  • Gulf of America partnership drilled Winterfell-4 well with completion underway, expected online late third quarter contributing ~1,000 barrels per day net to Kosmos.
  • Jubilee drilling restarted with the first producer well of the 2025/2026 program online, producing around 10,000 barrels per day.
  • Kosmos and partners signed MOU with Ghana government to extend licenses to 2040, supporting long-term investment and drilling commitments.
  • New 4D seismic data acquired over Jubilee field in early 2025, improving reservoir imaging and enabling better targeting of undrilled lobes and unswept oil.
  • Plans to acquire ocean bottom node (OBN) seismic data later in 2025 to further enhance reservoir modeling and velocity models.
  • Year-to-date, 6.5 gross LNG cargoes have been lifted from GTA, with production ramping towards nameplate capacity.
  • CEO Andrew Inglis emphasized the company’s priorities: growing production, reducing costs, and strengthening the balance sheet.
  • CFO Neal Shah detailed financial resilience efforts including a $250 million secured term loan to refinance 2026 bond maturities and increased hedging to protect against commodity price volatility.
  • Inglis highlighted the importance of consistent drilling and advanced seismic technology to unlock Jubilee’s full potential and sustain production.
  • Inglis noted the positive performance and operational milestones at GTA, with a focus on cost reduction and future expansion opportunities.
  • Kosmos is actively exploring alternative operating models at GTA to reduce costs, including refinancing the FPSO lease and potentially changing personnel models.
  • The company is focused on maximizing free cash flow and reducing net debt, with CapEx discipline and operational efficiencies.
  • The license extension MOU with Ghana is a win-win, enabling long-term investment without changes to fiscal terms but with commitments to increased drilling and gas volumes.
  • The partnership with Tullow in Ghana is strong, leveraging complementary skills and aligned on drilling programs and reservoir management.
  • Management confirmed that three to four wells per year are needed to maintain or grow Jubilee production, with a focus on producers over injectors in the near term.
  • Management discussed ongoing efforts to secure additional financing options for longer-dated maturities and expressed confidence in meeting RBL covenant requirements.
  • On CapEx, management indicated the $350 million envelope is sustainable into 2026, primarily supporting drilling programs, with larger project spend expected in later years.
  • On Jubilee’s production decline, management explained the 40% drop was influenced by planned shutdowns, riser instability, and higher-than-expected decline in some wells, but new drilling and seismic data are expected to reverse the trend.
  • Regarding GTA operating costs, management explained the components include FLNG toll, FPSO lease, and field OpEx, with refinancing and commissioning cost reductions expected to lower costs in 4Q and 2026.
  • The license extension MOU in Ghana does not change fiscal terms but includes commitments to increased drilling and gas volume targets.
  • Kosmos’ 2P reserves to production life exceeds 20 years, with significant discovered resources beyond that.
  • Kosmos has hedged 5 million barrels of oil production for the remainder of 2025 with a floor of $62 and ceiling of $77 per barrel, and 7 million barrels for 2026 with a floor of $66 and ceiling of $75.
  • Kosmos is targeting $25 million in overhead savings by the end of 2025, with full benefits expected in 2026 and beyond.
  • The company is prioritizing capital efficiency and cash flow generation in near-term operations while planning for long-term value creation.
  • The company received a waiver on the RBL debt cover ratio covenant through March 2026 to reflect GTA ramp-up timing impacts.
  • The partnership is exploring alternative lower-cost operating models at GTA, including personnel changes and refinancing strategies.
  • Kosmos is focused on balancing near-term cash flow priorities with the conversion of discovered resources into high-value reserves and production.
  • Kosmos is leveraging AI-enhanced data interpretation and reservoir modeling to maximize recovery in Jubilee.
  • Kosmos is working closely with partners and governments to finalize license extension documentation in Ghana in the second half of 2025.
  • The company expects seasonal fluctuations in GTA production due to temperature effects, with higher production in winter months.
  • The company is optimistic about the potential for a brownfield expansion at GTA to double gas production at a fraction of the cost.
  • The Presidents of Senegal and Mauritania met with U.S. President Trump, highlighting Kosmos’ role in discovering the GTA field and the importance of U.S. investment in Senegal’s economic growth.
Complete Transcript:
KOS:2025 - Q2
Operator:
Good day, everybody, and welcome to Kosmos Energy's Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call. As a reminder, this call today is being recorded. At this time, let me turn the call over to Jamie Buckland, Vice President of Investor Relations at Kosmos Energy. Jamie Bu
Jamie Buckland:
Thank you, operator, and thanks to everyone for joining us today. This morning, we issued our second quarter 2025 earnings release. This release and the slide presentation to accompany today's call are available on the Investors page of our website. Joining me on the call today to go through the materials are Andrew Inglis, Chairman and CEO; and Neal Shah, CFO. During today's presentation, we will make forward-looking statements that refer to our estimates, plans and expectations. Actual results and outcomes could differ materially due to factors we note in this presentation and in our U.K. and SEC filings. Please refer to our annual report stock exchange announcement and SEC filings for more details. These documents are available on our website. At this time, I will turn the call over to Andy.
Andrew G. Inglis:
Thanks, Jamie, and good morning and afternoon to everyone. Thank you for joining us today for our second quarter results call. I'll start off the call by talking about Kosmos' priorities, reinforcing the key messages I gave last quarter before updating you on progress across the portfolio. Neal will then walk through the financials and the work we've been doing to enhance the resilience of the balance sheet before I wrap up with closing remarks. We'll then open up the call for Q&A. Starting on Slide 3. As we navigate the ongoing commodity price volatility, our key priorities have not changed. Last quarter, I talked about growing production and reducing costs to prioritize free cash flow, while continuing to strengthen our balance sheet. I'm pleased to say we've made good progress this quarter across each of these areas. Starting with production. In June, we announced the Gimi floating LNG vessel had achieved Commercial Operations Date or COD, a key milestone for the GTA project. COD is achieved when LNG production is tested for a period of 72 hours at the annual contracted rate of around 2.45 million tonnes per annum equivalent. The FLNG has a nameplate capacity of around 2.7 million tonnes per annum and we're targeting reaching that level in the fourth quarter of the year. The project has now lifted 6.5 gross cargoes year-to-date. In Ghana, we're pleased that drilling and Jubilee has restarted with the first producer well of the '25/'26 drilling program now online. Initial gross production from the well is around 10,000 barrels of oil per day, in line with our expectations. We have also optimized the drilling program by accelerating the scheduled rig maintenance in 3Q, which allows us to drill a second producer this year, replacing a previously planned injector. This planned producer well is expected to add further Jubilee production around the end of the year ahead of four or more wells planned in 2026. I'll talk about that alongside 2Q Jubilee production later in the material. In the Gulf of America, the partnership has drilled the Winterfell-4 well with completion operations underway, that went as expected online around the end of the quarter. We are now approaching Kosmos' record high production levels with further near-term growth expected as we push GTA towards the FLNG nameplate capacity and bring on more wells at Jubilee and Winterfell. Moving to costs. We focused on three areas and are making good progress across all three. Firstly, on CapEx. CapEx in the first half of 2025 was around $170 million down around 65% from the first half of 2024 as we come out of a heavy investment period and start to see the benefits of those investments. With a sharp focus on CapEx in 2025, we've reduced our full year CapEx forecast from around $400 million to around $350 million with the first half actual supporting its lower forecast as we slow down some longer-term investments. Secondly, on OpEx. The largest opportunity for OpEx reduction is on GTA, and we're seeing OpEx per BOE fall as production ramps up. We're also targeting the refinancing of the GTA FPSO in the second half of the year, and we're working with the operator to explore alternative lower-cost operating models, which could further drive down costs across the project. And thirdly, overhead. We remain on track to deliver $25 million of targeted savings by the end of this year, with the full benefit being seen in 2026 and beyond. And finally, the balance sheet, where we continue to prioritize our financial resilience with a focus on cash flow and debt paydown. On liquidity, we're taking steps to address our upcoming debt maturities, as part of today's material, we announced we've agreed indicative terms for a term loan of up to $250 million secured against our Gulf of America assets and we'll anticipate using the proceeds to repay our 2026 bond maturity. We're also progressing additional financing activities to fund some of our longer-dated maturities. On hedging, we took advantage of higher prices in late 2Q and early 3Q to hedge more 2026 oil production with 7 million barrels now hedged in 2026. We're looking to hedge around 50% of 2026 production by the end of this year. And finally, on the RBL to reflect the timing impact of GTA ramp-up costs on leverage, we were granted a waiver from our banks on the debt cover ratio covenant through to March 2026. Neal will talk about all of these in more detail later. But in summary, we're making good progress against our financial objectives. Turning to Slide 4, which looks at operations for the quarter. Starting with the GTA project in Senegal and Mauritania. Second quarter net production was just over 7,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, and the partnership lifted 3.5 gross LNG cargoes, as previously communicated. As mentioned on the previous slide, the FLNG commercial operations date was achieved in late June. This is an important operational and financial milestone for Kosmos as it signals the end of us funding the NOC's CapEx on the project. In Ghana, total net production was around 29,100 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Jubilee gross production of around 55,000 barrels of oil per day was lower than expected in the second quarter, driven by 9 days of planned FPSO shutdown, a period of riser instability following the restart, which has since been addressed and the performance of some wells in the eastern side of the field. I'll talk more on the following slides about how the partnership is addressing these issues and the actions being taken to reestablish the full production potential of the field. As mentioned on the previous slide, the first producer well of the '25/'26 program was brought online late last month and is performing well. Jubilee gross gas production was around 16,600 barrels of oil equivalent per day in the second quarter. In early June, we announced that we signed an MOU with the government of Ghana to extend the licenses to 2040. The license extensions are a win-win for the project partners and the government, with partners now planning long-term investments in the field to maximize value for all stakeholders. We are working with our partners and the government to finalize the documentation targeting completion in the second half of the year. When I met with President Mahama earlier this year, we discussed his desire to reinvigorate the oil and gas sector in Ghana with increased investment in some of the country's most valuable assets. The license extensions on Jubilee and TEN are aligned with that agenda. At TEN, gross oil production in the quarter was just under 16,000 barrels of oil per day. In the Gulf of America, net production was around 19,600 barrels of oil equivalent per day at the upper end of guidance, driven by strong performance from the Kodiak and Odd Job fields. At Winterfell, the partnership has drilled the #4 well with the completion operations underway and the well is expected online later this quarter. On Tiberius, we continue to advance the development with our 50-50 partner, Oxy with FID targeted next year. In Equatorial Guinea, net production was just under 8,000 barrels of oil per day, lower than expectations due to some subsea pump mechanical failures at Ceiba. The operator expects the first replacement pump to be installed in the fourth quarter, with production expected to rise thereafter. Turning to Slide 5. At GTA, we continue to see a lot of positive progress with the project now fully operational. Year-to-date, we've lifted 6.5 gross cargoes, and the cadence of cargo listings is increasing as production ramps up. Further progress as expected with production expected to rise towards nameplate capacity of 2.7 million tonnes per annum in the fourth quarter. Production of the project is expected to fluctuate slightly with seasonal temperatures with higher production expected during the winter months when the air and sea temperatures occur. Full year guidance of 20 gross cargoes reflects a slightly slower production ramp-up that we saw in the same quarter and early third quarter. Importantly, the subsurface is performing well, which is a key factor as we plan future expansion phases. As a reminder, there is around 25 Tcf of discovered gas in place at GTA. Phase 1 only requires around 3 Tcf for 20 years of production at the contracted rate. This is a world-class gas resource with significant running room. The partnership also expects the first condensate cargo late in the third quarter, a meaningful additional revenue stream for the project. On operating costs, both start-up and commissioning costs should start to fall away in the second half of the year. We're also progressing the refinancing of the FPSO lease targeting completion in the second half of the year. Additionally, the partners are working with the operator to explore alternative lower-cost operating models to drive down costs further. As we look out with Phase 1 now fully operational, the next major opportunity to enhance value is through future expansion. Phase 1 plus, a low-cost brownfield expansion that leverages the existing Phase 1 infrastructure to enable gas production to double at a fraction of the cost through increased LNG production and domestic gas to our host countries. During an official visit to the U.S. in July, the Presidents of Senegal and Mauritania met with President Trump at the White House. President Faye of Senegal spoke positively to President Trump about Kosmos and our critical role in discovering the GTA field 10 years ago. He also talked about the importance to Senegal of U.S. investment from companies like Kosmos and the joint opportunities that could be created through investment in sectors core to the country's economic growth, such as natural gas. The videos of the meetings are online and worth watching. Turning to Slide 6, 2025 is an important year for our operations in Ghana as we return to drilling. The time line on the slide shows the journey we are on to deliver the full potential of the Jubilee field. The first half of 2024 marked the end of the previous 3-year drilling campaign, which was done using 4D seismic shot in 2017. At the end of that drilling campaign, Jubilee production peaked above 100,000 barrels of oil per day. In the second half of the year, we saw the start of a 12-month drilling hiatus, resulting in some expected natural decline of the field, which was exacerbated by facility issues that we talked about in detail last year, namely reliability, water injection and power generation. The first half of 2025, the partnership carried out a significant facilities work scope on the FPSO during the scheduled shutdown. While voidage replacement for the first half of the year has been above 100%, production declines have been higher than anticipated in certain wells in the eastern side of the field, including Jubilee Southeast. Riser-based gas lift was introduced to the eastern side of the field, which has helped to restore and stabilize production and plans are in place to do the same on the western side of the field in the future. In early 2025, we acquired new 4D across the field, the first since 2017 to ensure the next set of wells we drill in Jubilee are the best targets derisked with the best data and technology. A key event in the second quarter was the arrival of the rig to commence the '25/'26 drilling campaign. In July, we brought the first new well online in over a year, a producer in the Jubilee main reservoir with initial gross production of around 10,000 barrels of oil a day. The 2025 rig program has been optimized to drill a second producer well in the Jubilee Main field following a period of scheduled rig maintenance. The second producer well is expected online around the end of the year. We're excited to see the enhanced imaging of the fast-track 4D seismic data now coming through, which we plan to further improve using ocean bottom node seismic or OBN, which we expect to acquire later in the year. I'll talk more about that on the following slide. As we look forward to next year and beyond, we're back to a more regular drilling cadence with four wells committed in 2026, which will start to benefit from the new seismic. Turning to Slide 7. I want to spend some time on this slide talking about the importance of consistent drilling and how the partnership is planning to use the latest technologies to deliver the full potential of Jubilee. Using cutting-edge seismic technology to enhance resource recovery in mid-life fields is a growing theme across the industry with recent communications from some of the majors highlighting the significant role they expected to play over the coming years. The 4D narrow-azimuth seismic or NAZ shot in the first quarter of the year was the first seismic acquired over the field since 2017. This new seismic data processed with the latest technology is generating a better understanding of the subsurface through enhanced imaging, which is helping to identify new undrilled lobes and unswept oil. As can be seen on the slide, the modern NAZ data on the bottom right shows much greater definition of existing reservoirs and yields an improved understanding of fluid movements over time compared to the legacy seismic in the top right. The improved imaging of the new data also provides greater visibility and understanding of deeper potential. At Kosmos, we've taken the lead in coupling this modern seismic with new AI-enhanced data interpretation and reservoir modeling to maximize recovery. As mentioned on the previous slide, we're planning to acquire OBN data over the field later in the year, which will enhance the velocity model to further uplift the NAZ processing. The velocity model inserts to the two images on the slide show the evolution and improvement in clarity from 2017 to the present day, and we think there's more to go with OBN data. The second message on the slide I want to focus on is drilling. We've talked at length in the past about the need for regular drilling on Jubilee, a key part of delivering the field's potential alongside high facility uptime and sustained water injection. As I mentioned, the '25/'26 drilling program is now underway with the first Jubilee producer, J-72 online and the second Jubilee main field producer expected online around the end of the year. Following completion of that well, the rig is scheduled to drill four wells in Jubilee in 2026, targeting well-defined main field producers supported by good adjacent well control, similar to J-72. Going forward, we expect three to four wells per year will be needed to maximize the field's full potential over a multiyear period and sustain higher production levels. With the license extension MOU, the partnership can now plan on long-term investment in Jubilee, which should also drive a material uplift in 2P reserves. In summary, Jubilee is a big field that we expect will get bigger through regular drilling supported by new imaging and reservoir management technology. Turning to Slide 8. The Gulf of America second quarter performance was good with production at the upper end of guidance helped by strong output from both Odd Job and Kodiak. At Winterfell, the #4 well was drilled in the second quarter and is anticipated to come online late 3Q. The well is expected to contribute a net rate to Kosmos of around 1,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. On our development activity, we, together with Oxy continuing to progress Tiberius, an outboard Wilcox discovery, working on improved lower-cost development plans supported by new OBN seismic that we expect to acquire later in the year. FID would then be targeted for next year. Gettysburg is a discovered resource opportunity we acquired in a previous lease sale in the Norphlet trend. To advance the project, we brought in Shell as a 75% partner and operator and are working alongside them in a joint team to progress a low-cost single well development that will be tied back to Shell's operated Appomattox platform. That concludes the review of the portfolio, and Neal will now take you through the financials.
Neal D. Shah:
Thanks, Andy. Turning now to Slide 9, which looks at the quarter in detail. Production was higher sequentially due to GTA coming on and strong performance in the Gulf of America, partly offset by lower production in Jubilee and Equatorial Guinea. Production did come in lower than guidance, mainly due to the ramp-up timing on GTA, which we communicated in June and lower Jubilee production in the quarter. With GTA ramped up and the first Jubilee well online in July, current production is approaching record highs, as Andy previously mentioned. With additional wells at Jubilee and Winterfell, the installation of replacement pumps at Ceiba and ramp-up further of GTA targeting the FLNG nameplate capacity, we expect production to continue to rise quarter-over-quarter into 2026. OpEx per BOE, as shown on the slide, excluding GTA, was higher in the quarter, largely reflecting the 1/10 lifting we expect this year since TEN operating costs are booked in the quarter, the cargo is lifted. G&A was lower as we start to see the impact of some of the overhead savings coming through. And finally, CapEx came in under budget due to the timing of activity in the Gulf of America and lower GTA costs in the quarter. As Andy discussed earlier, we have lowered our full year CapEx guidance to approximately $350 million from $400 million with 1Q and 2Q CapEx demonstrating we are on track to achieve the lower amount, which we believe is sustainable into 2026. With our CapEx and NOC funding winding down and production increasing, at current oil prices, we are generating free cash flow. While the timing has been slightly delayed, we remain focused on maximizing cash flow in the near term and reducing the absolute amount of net debt. I also want to mention that while working capital is difficult to predict on a quarterly basis, we do expect a working capital draw in the third quarter to reflect the timing of some payments. Turning to Slide 10. As Andy said in his opening remarks, one of the priorities for the company this year is enhancing the resilience of the balance sheet, and we've made progress in several key areas recently. On liquidity, we have agreed indicative terms for a senior secured term loan with an investment-grade counterparty at a cost similar to our existing RBL for up to $250 million, which we would anticipate using to repay the outstanding 2026 unsecured notes. This facility would be secured against our assets in the Gulf of America with a final maturity date 4 years after closing, which is anticipated by the end of the third quarter. The chart on the right shows the pro forma impact of this transaction on our maturity schedule, assuming we fully draw down on the new facility to repay the outstanding 2026 notes. Through the second half of this year, we plan to continue working on accessing additional attractive sources of liquidity to potentially repay some of our other longer-dated maturities. On hedging, we continue to add additional protection against commodity price downside through the back half of the year into 2026. For the remainder of 2025, we have 5 million barrels of oil production hedged with a $62 per barrel floor and a $77 per barrel ceiling. We also took advantage of higher prices in late 2Q and early 3Q to add more hedges for 2026. We now have 7 million barrels of oil hedged next year with a floor of $66 per barrel and a ceiling of $75 per barrel. On CapEx, I talked on the previous slide about reducing full year guidance to approximately $350 million from $400 million. The chart on the bottom right shows a material drop in quarterly CapEx from last year with lower levels of CapEx expected to continue as we prioritize free cash flow. And finally, we worked with our banks to amend the debt cover ratio calculation for the RBL, increasing the ratio for the next 2 scheduled test dates to reflect the timing impact of start-up of the GTA project on the backward-looking leverage calculation. The debt cover ratio will return to the originally agreed level thereafter when full year revenues from the GTA project are better aligned with operating expenses. So in summary, we remain proactive on improving the balance sheet, raising liquidity, increasing hedging and reducing costs, and we'll continue to update the market as we make further progress in the second half of this year. With that, I'll hand it back to Andy.
Andrew G. Inglis:
Thanks, Neal. Turning now to Slide 11 to conclude today's presentation. As I said in my opening remarks, our near-term focus is on growing production, reducing costs and enhancing the resilience of the balance sheet, and we're making good progress in all three areas. As we look beyond the near term, there's significant scope to add long-term value for our investors through high-quality production and development opportunities across the portfolio. On GTA, with the first phase now fully operational, we are focusing our efforts towards reducing costs and doubling production to further drive down unit costs through advancing the low-cost brownfield expansion that leverages the existing infrastructure. In Ghana, Jubilee is a big mid-life field with significant reserves yet to be produced, which can be accessed by consistent drilling enabled by new technology and the license extension. The Gulf of America, a proven basin with significant running room, we continue to advance an attractive portfolio of infrastructure- led exploration and development options in the Outboard Wilcox and Norphlet trends that leverage Kosmos' capability. In Equatorial Guinea, our assets should deliver cash flow as we selectively invest in production optimization. So in summary, Kosmos has a diverse, differentiated portfolio with a 2P reserves to production life of over 20 years with considerable discovered resource beyond that. The conversion of this discovered resource into high-value reserves and then into production will be done at the right pace in a capital efficient manner, prioritizing cash flow and the balance sheet in the near term. We look forward to delivering on these near-term objectives, which will support long-term value creation for our investors. Thank you. And I'd now like to turn the call over to the operator to open the session for questions.
Operator:
[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Charles Meade with Johnson Rice.
Charles Arthur Meade:
Andy, I want to ask a question about Jubilee. You've given us a lot of great detail here, and I love all the technical detail. But looking at the story from the top down, you gave us the -- you mentioned that in the first half of '24, the field was producing over 100,000 barrels. And a year later, you're down to 55,000 or let's call it, 60,000 adjusted for downtime. So that 40% decline in the year strikes me as high, maybe anomalously high. But if I look at it from a different way and say, okay, well, you need to drill four new producers every year to keep the field flat. And if those producers come in like your latest one, maybe that 40% annual decline is the slope you're fighting every year. So I wonder if you could comment on whether that's a valid way of looking at it and what you'd add to that picture.
Andrew G. Inglis:
Yes. Thanks, Charles, look, it's a really good question. I think when you look at it from the top down, I think you rightly sort of focused on where we are in 2Q. Not only was the shutdown a little challenged, but we did have the additional issues of the riser instability, which we've ironed out. So you sort of have to look in 2Q in the right context, yes. But it was also impacted, I think, by higher-than-expected decline, certainly in some of the wells on the eastern side of the field, in particular, Jubilee Southeast. So you go, okay, what are we actually doing about that now? I think we talked in quite a lot of detail in the prepared section of the impact of two things. One is better data. We've -- we're really pleased with the uplift we're seeing from the fast track data in the NAZ and again, you need to remember, this is fast track, very early product. And to me, the uplift is huge in terms of our ability to see better opportunities in the field, both from undrilled lobes and unswept oil. So you're starting to see now a much clearer picture. And I think we did suffer towards the end of the last drilling campaign from the quality of the data we stated back to 2017. So you've got much better data and then the ability then to improve it further than NAZ to the OBN, I think we're going to get -- see a big uplift in the velocity model. So I think the imaging is only going to become clearer. And then as you rightly say, the second part of the story is how do we harness the improved data, you've got to drill regulate. And when we've said all along that you need to get three to four wells in a year to sort of maintain the production levels. So if you sort of take that and sort of track forward, I think we drilled the first of those wells and brought it online last month. And we're seeing production rising as a result. We hope to get a second well on around by year-end. And I think that can push production up to around 70,000 barrels a day. So the drilling is more than offsetting the underlying decline and leading to growth. And then four more wells in '26, we think they're likely going to be producers. And if you think each of those is adding 5,000 to 10,000 barrels a day, you can see your way with the -- even with the decline that we're seeing, building up towards that sort of 90,000 barrels a day. So I think that's how you get back to where we need to be. And then you can sort of rinse repeat because you've got quality data and you're starting to deliver a regular consistent drilling program targeting high-quality wells. So yes, 2Q was lower than expectation, and you've sort of done the maths on that. But I think even when you were sort of -- you adjust it for the one-offs that were in there and then you start to look at the performance we're seeing from some of the wells that we're drilling, you can reestablish the potential of the field. But it's going to require the two things we talked about, going to require good data. And I think I'm really pleased with what we're seeing with the NAZ, and I think the fast Track NAZ, it will only get better with the four products and then the uplift from the OBN and then back to a regular drilling program.
Charles Arthur Meade:
Got it. That's great detail, Andy. And then on GTA, I think you mentioned in your prepared comments, in the slides, and also in the press release talking about exploring different operating models to lower costs. And can you give us a sense of what they might be or more importantly, what the order of magnitude might be for reducing the cost? And I'm guessing that means an absolute sense, not in -- as a precursor to producing it on a unit basis?
Andrew G. Inglis:
Yes, absolutely. Look, it's -- I think to sort of remember that GTA has certainly been a major project for us. The start-up of a major facility such as this as an LNG scheme always comes, I think the first year is always a challenging period because you're building plateau, you're removing those shutdowns and commissioning costs and getting to steady state. So I think the first order of business is sort of to deliver that outcome and get to that sort of plateau. And I think we got COD in June. I think we're holding at those levels now, and we're producing at the ACQ. So I think -- but we know there's more to go. When we look at the individual trains and the optimization that can be done, there's absolutely ability to get to nameplate and beyond. So that's part of the journey in the second half of the year. Then part of the journey in the second half of the year is getting those projects, those -- and start-up costs, commissioning costs out of the system and getting to a lower level, which we think we'll achieve both in the fourth quarter. And then looking beyond that, the conversation with the operator is around a couple of things. We're looking at how we refinance the FPSO in the second half of the year. That will bring a significant benefit to Kosmos and to the NOCs. And then beyond that is how do you reduce the operating costs even lower. And that ultimately, Charles, is about exploring sort of all operating models, yes. At the moment, we have a model which is exclusively BP personnel, both on the FPSO and the hub are the ways in which you can look at models that are employed elsewhere that ultimately get you to a more competitive position. So those are the things that follow next. So I think there's a lot of opportunity to take cost out. And it isn't simply about moving the volume up. It is fundamentally about attacking the cost base from all of the angles that I've talked about.
Operator:
Our next question is from Matt Smith with Bank of America.
Matthew Smith:
Thanks for all those details so far. Perhaps I just have one sort of broad question on CapEx. Welcome to see that coming down in the guidance for 2025. I guess my question really is, is that CapEx envelope now well below $400 million at around $350 million. Is that a sensible CapEx envelope to think about going forward? You referenced, of course, Tiberius FID potentially next year at some stage, Phase 1 plus on GTA. So I'm just wondering, are you comfortable that you could operate within that $350 million going forward? Or should we expect you to perhaps need to go above that if you were to progress those projects? And perhaps if I tack on a second one, related to that is just whether you're seeing any momentum on that GTA Phase 1 plus project at the moment, good alignment from the partnership or how close to near term is progress there, I guess, is the crux of my question, please.
Andrew G. Inglis:
Okay. Good, Matt. As you look at the CapEx reduction of $400 million to $350 million, it is about really sort of making every dollar count as we look at the investment going into the company and prioritizing the free cash flow. So it is at lots of opportunities right across the portfolio. But I'd say the majority has been slowing down some of the longer-term projects, in particular, Tiberius. So as you sort of look to the next question then is, can you sustain the $350 million into '26. We haven't given CapEx guidance yet. But if you sort of step back and say that the primary call on capital in '26 is the four wells that we've got committed in Jubilee. There is -- that's a primary call on CapEx. Actually, in Equatorial Guinea, not really any significant CapEx call. On GTA, I'll come on to it in a minute. We don't believe Phase 1 is going to be a significant part of '26, it will follow slightly slower. Therefore, probably the FID of Tiberius will come probably towards the end of the year. So when you take that and you look at the focus on particularly in the volatile oil price environment that we have today, a forward number of around $350 million can -- not only sustain the company, but it will grow the company, as I just talked about, through the impact of the Jubilee wells without damaging that future growth profile. So I think it's -- in summary, yes, around $350 million, probably right. Yes, around $350 million, the company is going to continue to grow. And then you have the subsequent follow-on, which is more '27, '28 period, where you would see some spend on Tiberius, some spend on Phase 1 plus, okay? Then on Phase 1 plus, the most important thing to start with on that is actually the performance of the subsurface on Phase 1. We've got three wells online at the moment. They're all performing in line with expectation. So that was a little bit of a gating item amongst the partnership wanting to see the reservoir performance. We're now sort of -- we started up at the -- right at the end of the year, 31st of December. So we've got essentially more than sort of 7 months of production data and feel good about what we're seeing. So the reserves are absolutely there in terms of the ability to expand the project. In terms of alignment around the partnership, there is alignment around a brownfield expansion, the ability to double volume, double volume through brownfield expansion of the FPSO, which is -- it was designed to do circa double the rate that it's doing today and the incremental investment to get it there is very small. So alignment around that. Alignment around actually that incremental gas will go into LNG and domestic gas. There's a call from the government for domestic gas. Equally, the rate at which they ramp up that domestic gas call is one issue that we're working. And then the ability to debottleneck the Gimi to provide additional LNG capacity is the other part of the exam question to how do I use that incremental 300 million to 400 million standard cubic feet. So that's the work that we're doing at the moment. So I'd say that the fundamental issue is, of course, therefore, around the number of wells which you need to support that incremental sort of 350. And good that the reservoir is performing, we're getting track record now. And therefore, I believe we have the opportunity, I think, to sort of really refine that well count. So that's the sort of the work that's ongoing at the moment. There are three things: get the well count right, how many wells do you need, when do you need them to support the incremental volume? What's the timing of that volume in terms of domestic gas and what uplift can you see from the Gimi to be able to deliver that.
Operator:
Our next question is from Bob Brackett with Bernstein Research.
Robert Alan Brackett:
I have a clarification maybe and then a question. The clarification follows what Charles had alluded to a 40% decline in the 100,000 a day Jubilee field. The way I read the release is something more like three to four wells a year to maintain flat performance and maybe those split between producers and injectors, and that gets you to something like a 15% to 20% base decline. Is that the better way to think of it?
Andrew G. Inglis:
Yes, it is, Bob. Yes. I think you've described it accurately. So if you think about the near-term program, we're going to heavily weight producers because we believe we've got sufficient injection capacity as you ramp up from where we are today up to that sort of 90,000 barrels of oil per day. So you don't really need today additional injectors. So you can sort of high-grade the program to producers, but to be able to do that, you need the data, et cetera, as I talked through with Charles. When you're at that higher level, then I think the decline rate that you've talked about is the level in which you can manage the field. And therefore, you will be -- you will need injectors because you've got a high level of offtake. And therefore, a mix of producers and injectors, three to four wells per year is the right way to think about it.
Robert Alan Brackett:
And then I guess my core question is somewhat related, which is on the license extension. You have an MOU. Can you share whether there's any change in the fiscal terms or any work program commitment? Or is that still up in the air?
Andrew G. Inglis:
No. What we've said, Bob, is that we've described the intent of the MOU and the dimensions that it covers. It's a win-win really for both the government and ourselves. What we're doing is there is a decrease in the gas price, but there's more volume. So we've committed to move the volume up to 130 million standard cubic feet a day with a small discount to the gas price. There is an undertaking to drill up to 20 wells. And clearly, the number will depend on the emerging opportunity set that we see from the NAZ. But today, we see it as being a positive view that we're getting of the reservoir. No change to the fiscal terms. It's under the existing law. And those are the key elements. So I think for us, the most important part is that you can properly invest in the field to deliver a consistent drilling program where you're continuing to invest in the data because I think we can see the uplift from the NAZ having sort of not been shooting seismic for almost 8 years. We need to get back to a regular program probably every 3 years where you shoot a NAZ, probably no need to redo OBN, but we would come back to that given that you calibrated the velocity model. So that's the real win-win from this is that with a greater purview, you can invest properly upfront to deliver that regular program that we talked about where the data is enabling you to drill the best wells that are available.
Operator:
Our next question is from Alexa Petrick with Goldman Sachs.
Alexa Petrick:
I wanted to ask one question on GTA costs. I think the 3Q guide came in a little higher than our expectations. So just want to get your sense of what's in those costs. How do we think about 4Q? And then any sense of how we should think about it on a per BOE basis for 2026?
Andrew G. Inglis:
Yes. Neal, do you want to pick that up?
Neal D. Shah:
Yes. So the three components in the GTA cost numbers are sort of -- yes, the FLNG toll, the FPSO lease and the field, just sort of regular field OpEx. And so the FLNG toll was a bit higher in 2Q, given we had some bonus payments that were payable to Golar. That's really normalized on a per Mcf basis. It's a little over $2 on a recurring basis. So it's a volume-based calculation. And so it should be relatively steady both into the back half of this year and into next year. The FPSO is about $15 million a quarter in terms of operating cost of that lease. And again, I think we're saying we're working on -- we said we're working on refinancing that in the second half of this year. That's on track. So you'll see the costs come through -- the cost reduction come through when that's complete. And again, that's about a little over 1/4 of the operating cost. And then the third one, I said, is sort of field OpEx, and that sort of will be flat closer to 3Q to 2Q as we sort of still rationalize some of the start-up and commissioning costs, and then you'll see a drop-off in that in terms of the fourth quarter that again, we anticipate we can hold into '25 -- into '26 and then also looking at the alternative models. And so again, I think on a per unit basis, you'll continue to see both sides of the equation improve, both in terms of increasing volume and costs coming down.
Alexa Petrick:
Okay. That's helpful. And then I just wanted to ask, we recognize right now, we're in a period of GTA start-up costs, production is ramping. But as we think about getting to a point where we have more normalized volumes and costs come off, any thoughts about how we should think about a normalized free cash flow for the business?
Neal D. Shah:
Yes. And again, I would say our view on that sort of hasn't changed, which is sort of bring the breakeven for the business down to sort of the $50 to $55 per barrel type range. And then again, the sensitivity depending on what oil price you're using, it's about $100 million of free cash flow for every $5 or selling above that. So again, I think that's -- I think that's -- again, it doesn't exactly work out quarterly just because of the timing of liftings and so on. But again, I think sort of that rate is what we're targeting sort of across the business on a consistent basis.
Operator:
Our next question is from Mark Wilson with Jefferies.
Mark Wilson:
A couple of questions, please. First, on GTA, thinking ahead to Phase 1 plus, is the most important thing we should be looking for a gas sales agreement either with Senegal, Mauritania or with a third party? That's the first question. And then on Jubilee, a lot of commentary and detail in the presentation and some hindsight views, I would say, as well. The question I have going forward is particularly with this new seismic data and the processing of that and the work that needs to be done on the longer term, should you be operator of that field? And is that something we're looking for?
Andrew G. Inglis:
Right. Thank you, Mark. Yes, on the first question, absolutely. I think I was clear when we talked about it earlier that what we're looking to do is work with the partnership. And clearly, the partnership involves the government to find the right blend now of domestic gas versus increased LNG sales, yes. And so yes, absolutely, part of that whole optimization is around what level of gas can they take, what are -- what's the expected ramp-up and therefore, what would a gas sales contract look like. So absolutely, you put it in terms of the Pacific. But in terms of an output we would need is certainly, as we move towards FID of that, we would need clarity around what that gas sales would look like, yes. But again, the government is clear about the need. And actually, the need in the country is absolutely clear. Growing economy needs to be able to leverage gas, displace heavier -- displace higher cost heavy fuel oil. And therefore, there is a real economic gain for all parties here by being able to do that. So I don't believe that is a barrier, but it does absolutely need to be addressed. In terms of your second question, look, we work very closely with Tullow, as you know. I think it's a good partnership. I think we each have our individual skills. Clearly, I think being based -- in particular, actually being based in the Gulf of America, I think the view of being able to leverage seismic, the processing, the acquisition techniques and so on has been something that we've been able to bring to the partnership. And I think we're working really well with Tullow at the moment to leverage their skills and our skills in this domain to make a difference. So there's no difference between where the companies stand on that. We clearly have the rig locked in. We have six wells in front of us. We're aligned around the well choices and what it's going to take to drive the field forward. So I think that, in response to your question, is the most important thing that we're aligned and actually Kosmos is bringing something to the party and clearly so is Tullow.
Operator:
Our next question is from Stella Cridge with Barclays.
Stella Cridge:
Many thanks for all of the updates. I was wondering if I could ask on the debt side. So you mentioned that you're progressing additional financing options. I just wondered if you could talk about the different options that might be available to you, how far out on the curve that you're thinking about in terms of maturities, that would be great. And in the RBL, of course, you do have some requirements to address debt a reasonable amount ahead of time. I just wonder if you could talk about how confident you are in meeting some of those requirements of the lending, that would be good.
Neal D. Shah:
Yes, I'll take that. Just on the further out maturities, again, I think when we set up the maturity schedule in the past, the goal was to leave a few maturities out there and then repay them with the cash flow generated from the business. And again, recognizing the goal from our perspective is to not just reduce leverage, but to reduce the amount of absolute debt and therefore, paying off the bonds with the cash flow that's generated makes sense. And so again, I think inherently, that continues to be part of the plan and the big variable their sort of is around oil prices. And so with the wobble that we had sort of in the oil price, we thought it was prudent to sort of take off the '26 maturity ahead of time with the refinancing. And that gives us a bit of space combined with the other proactive measures we've taken on the financing side to clear sort of a runway. And in that space of time, again, continue to work in a manner to maximize cash flow for the business so that we can continue reducing debt. Alongside that, we'll continue to look at sort of proactive other alternative attractive sources of capital to see if there's a cost of capital advantage to be gained in terms of addressing '27 and '28 maturities as well. They're trading at a discount, if we can raise low-cost finance secured against our assets, there's a cost, there's a capital, there's a return to be earned there. And so the plan is to finish the Gulf facility here this quarter and then continue to evaluate those options. And part of that will depend on where things trade. If they continue to trade at a discount, there becomes an opportunity for us to accelerate the net debt reduction through the early retirement of those bonds. So again, I think it will be an ongoing process of evaluating that. And to your second question, just around the RBL, again, we went through the test comfortably in sort of March. Again, we use an RBL price deck to show both from existing liquidity and cash generated between now and the maturities that we have sufficient sources to cover the uses. Again, I think the oil prices moved up and down, but fundamentally, we're well still above borrowing base price decks. And so feel good about sort of the generation -- future cash generation from the ability and especially combined with the facility that we put in the Gulf, we'll have -- my expectation is we'll continue to have decent coverage as we pass through those tests on a regular basis.
Operator:
Our next question is a follow-up from Bob Brackett with Bernstein Research.
Robert Alan Brackett:
This has to do with GTA. And you mentioned a domestic gas component. Can you remind me, is that a pipe to St. Louis? Or is that some LNG into regas and, say, the car or something? What's envisioned there?
Andrew G. Inglis:
No. I think -- look, I think the primary source would be actually sort of pipeline gas, yes. So this would be a pipe gas solution rather than LNG to [indiscernible], although there is an LNG regas facility in [indiscernible]. So you could add incremental volume that way. But I think it would be -- what we're looking at today, Bob, is a more permanent solution.
Operator:
Since there are no further questions at this time, I would like to bring the call to a close. Thanks to everyone for joining today. You may disconnect your lines at this time and thank you for your participation.

Here's what you can ask