WSBC (2025 - Q3)

Release Date: Oct 23, 2025

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Stock Data provided by Financial Modeling Prep

Current Financial Performance

WesBanco Q3 2025 Financial Highlights

$90M
Net Income Excl. Merger
+68%
$0.94
EPS Excl. Merger
+68%
$81M
GAAP Net Income
3.53%
Net Interest Margin
+0.58%

Key Financial Metrics

Profitability & Efficiency Ratios

1.3%
Return on Avg Assets
17.5%
Return on Tangible Equity
55%
Efficiency Ratio
1.15%
Allowance for Credit Losses
2.56%
Deposit Funding Cost
1.92%
Deposit Funding Cost incl. Noninterest Deposits

Total Assets

$27.5B
49%

Total Portfolio Loans

$18.9B
52%

Total Deposits

$21.3B
54%

Period Comparison Analysis

Net Income Excl. Merger

$90M
Current
Previous:$87.3M
3.1% QoQ

EPS Excl. Merger

$0.94
Current
Previous:$0.91
3.3% QoQ

Net Interest Margin

3.53%
Current
Previous:3.59%
1.7% QoQ

Total Deposits

$21.3B
Current
Previous:$21.2B
0.5% QoQ

Total Portfolio Loans

$18.9B
Current
Previous:$18.8B
0.5% QoQ

Net Income Excl. Merger

$90M
Current
Previous:$36.3M
147.9% YoY

EPS Excl. Merger

$0.94
Current
Previous:$0.56
67.9% YoY

Total Deposits

$21.3B
Current
Previous:$13.8B
54.3% YoY

Total Portfolio Loans

$18.9B
Current
Previous:$12.4B
52.4% YoY

Earnings Performance & Analysis

Fee Income

$44.9M

Year-over-year growth

52%

Noninterest Expense

$144.8M

Excl. restructuring & merger costs

46%

Restructuring & Merger Expenses

$11.4M

Commercial Real Estate Payoffs

$235M

Q3 2025

Efficiency Ratio

55%
10%

Financial Guidance & Outlook

Q4 2025 NIM Forecast

Mid- to High 3.50s%

Net Interest Margin expected rebound

Branch Closures

27 centers

Expected late January 2026

Annual Savings from Closures

$6M

Net pretax

Preferred Stock Dividends Q4

$13M

Includes Series A & B dividends

Loan Growth Outlook 2025

Mid-single-digit YoY

Surprises

68% Increase in EPS Excluding Merger Charges

68% increase

$0.94 EPS

EPS of $0.94 excluding merger-related charges, an increase of 68% year-over-year.

52% Year-Over-Year Fee Income Growth

52% above prior year

52% growth

Year-over-year fee income growth of 52%, driven by wealth management and post-acquisition customer base.

10 Percentage Point Improvement in Efficiency Ratio

10 percentage points improvement

Efficiency ratio improved to 55%

Efficiency ratio improved 10 percentage points year-over-year due to expense synergies and cost control.

Commercial Real Estate Payoffs More Than Double Year-to-Date

150% increase

$490 million YTD

CRE payoffs totaled $490 million year-to-date, more than 2.5x the prior year period, causing a headwind to loan growth.

Record Commercial Gross Loan Production

Record production through first 9 months

Achieved record commercial gross loan production through the first 9 months of the year despite CRE payoff headwinds.

Deposit Growth Fully Funding Loan Growth

53.8% deposit increase

Deposits increased 53.8% year-over-year to $21.3 billion, fully funding loan growth despite CRE payoffs.

Impact Quotes

Our third quarter results demonstrate the successful integration of Premier and continued operational discipline driving positive operating leverage and improved efficiency.

We generated strong year-over-year pretax pre-provision core earnings growth of nearly 130%, reflecting robust financial performance.

Customer satisfaction in our newest markets has rebounded faster than expected, now well above the industry average.

Our net interest margin improved 58 basis points year-over-year to 3.53%, driven by higher loan yields and lower funding costs.

We continue to optimize our financial center network, including closing 27 centers to improve efficiency and support long-term growth.

We remain in capital build mode, prioritizing dividends and loan growth over share buybacks in the near term.

Notable Topics Discussed

  • WesBanco highlighted the successful integration of the Premier acquisition, which contributed to a significant improvement in the efficiency ratio, reducing it by 10 percentage points year-over-year to 55%.
  • Operational efforts focused on expense synergies, cost control, and driving positive operating leverage, demonstrating disciplined execution post-acquisition.
  • Customer satisfaction in new markets rebounded faster than expected, reaching upper 80 percentile levels, indicating effective integration and customer trust rebuilding.
  • The integration strategy has been a key driver of organic fee income growth, especially in wealth management and new customer segments, supporting long-term profitability.
  • WesBanco announced the closure of 27 financial centers across legacy markets, expected to generate approximately $6 million in annual pretax savings, with over 75% of closures within 10 miles of existing locations.
  • The branch closures are part of a strategic effort to streamline the footprint, improve efficiency, and enhance customer experience, with no closures related to the Premier acquisition.
  • The bank is also opening new centers in Tennessee and Ohio, aiming to support growth in high-potential markets while balancing operational responsiveness.
  • These initiatives reflect a proactive approach to market conditions and customer preferences, positioning WesBanco for sustainable growth and improved profitability.
  • The company reported a strong commercial loan pipeline of approximately $1.5 billion, with over 40% tied to new markets and loan production offices, indicating a focus on organic growth.
  • Despite a $235 million commercial real estate payoff in Q3, the bank maintained solid loan growth of 4.8% year-over-year, supported by a record pipeline and new market contributions.
  • A major deal with a national motorcycle manufacturer exemplifies the bank’s ability to secure large, strategic loans and deepen customer relationships.
  • The outlook remains optimistic for mid-single-digit loan growth in 2025, leveraging a strong pipeline and new market opportunities, even with CRE paydowns.
  • WesBanco raised $230 million of Series B preferred stock, which will be used to redeem Series A preferred stock and sub debt, strengthening Tier 1 capital ratios.
  • The company expects its CET1 ratio to continue improving by 15-20 basis points per quarter, maintaining a target range of 10.5%-11%, supporting capital adequacy and growth.
  • The redemption of Series A preferred stock and planned capital actions are part of a strategic capital build, with less emphasis on buybacks in the near term.
  • Capital management efforts are aligned with long-term growth objectives, ensuring regulatory compliance and financial stability.
  • The net interest margin improved 58 basis points year-over-year to 3.53%, driven by higher yields on loans and securities and lower funding costs.
  • The bank anticipates continued margin improvement of 3-5 basis points per quarter, supported by funding cost reductions and asset repricing.
  • A planned 25 basis point Fed rate cut is factored into the outlook, with minimal near-term impact expected on margins.
  • Federal Home Loan Bank borrowings are expected to fluctuate based on capital actions and deposit growth, influencing future margin dynamics.
  • Fee income increased 52% year-over-year, driven by organic growth in wealth management, trustees, deposit service charges, and electronic banking fees.
  • Record fee levels were achieved across multiple categories, reflecting successful cross-selling and market expansion strategies.
  • Growth in gross swap fees by $2.1 million highlights traction in treasury management and interest rate products.
  • The diversification of revenue streams enhances the bank’s resilience against market volatility and supports long-term profitability.
  • Customer satisfaction scores in new markets rebounded to pre-conversion levels, demonstrating effective support during integration.
  • Proactive planning and operational discipline helped restore trust and service quality post-acquisition.
  • Overall customer satisfaction across all markets is in the upper 80 percentile, well above industry averages.
  • Operational focus on service quality and customer experience is a key pillar supporting growth in new and existing markets.
  • The bank is prioritizing organic growth through new market entry, vertical expansion, and leveraging its record pipeline of commercial loans.
  • New health care vertical and loan production offices are performing strongly, with the health care team closing about $250 million in loans in six months.
  • Expansion into new cities and markets, such as Tennessee and Ohio, is supported by strategic branch openings and digital enhancements.
  • Management emphasizes organic growth over M&A at this stage, focusing on building a strong, scalable franchise.
  • Credit quality metrics remain low and stable, with criticized and classified loans decreasing to 3.2% in Q3.
  • The allowance for credit losses is 1.15% of total loans, with a slight decrease driven by runoff of qualitative factors related to interest rate risk.
  • The bank expects credit losses to be influenced by loan growth, economic conditions, and charge-offs, but maintains a cautious outlook.
  • Ongoing evaluation of CECL provisions suggests a stable risk environment, with no immediate concerns about asset quality.

Key Insights:

  • 2026 guidance to be provided during January earnings call.
  • Anticipate net interest margin to rebound to mid- to high 3.50s in Q4 2025.
  • Effective tax rate expected around 19.5% for the year.
  • Expect mid-single-digit year-over-year loan growth for 2025 despite CRE payoff headwinds.
  • Modeling a 25 basis point Fed rate cut in October with neutral near-term impact on net interest margin.
  • Noninterest income and expense expected to remain consistent with Q3 trends.
  • Plan to close 27 financial centers by late January 2026, generating $6 million in annual pretax savings.
  • Provision for credit losses will depend on loan growth, economic factors, and charge-offs.
  • Annual deposit campaign delivered $570 million organic deposit growth year-over-year.
  • Closing 27 financial centers to optimize footprint and improve efficiency, with minimal deposit attrition.
  • Customer satisfaction in new markets rebounded faster than expected, now above industry average.
  • Focus on enhancing digital banking capabilities and streamlining physical locations.
  • Loan pipeline remains strong at approximately $1.5 billion, with 40% tied to new markets and LPOs.
  • Opened new loan production offices (LPOs) in Knoxville and Chattanooga with strong loan growth.
  • Plan to open new financial centers in Tennessee and Alliance, Ohio in Q1 2026.
  • Successful integration of Premier acquisition with strong operational discipline.
  • CEO Jeff Jackson emphasized commitment to operational excellence and profitable long-term growth.
  • CFO Dan Weiss noted strong pretax pre-provision core earnings growth of nearly 130% year-over-year.
  • Executives highlighted the success of the health care vertical and LPO strategy as growth drivers.
  • Focus on delivering tailored financial solutions to deepen customer relationships and enhance satisfaction.
  • Leadership prioritizes capital build over buybacks, focusing on dividends and loan growth.
  • Management expects continued margin improvement and efficiency gains into 2026.
  • Management highlighted strong collaboration across commercial banking, treasury management, and retail.
  • Management remains optimistic about loan growth despite CRE payoff headwinds due to strong pipeline.
  • Branch closures expected to provide expense tailwind and support reinvestment in technology.
  • CRE payoffs expected to normalize to $400-$700 million annually after a high 2025 level.
  • Health care vertical has closed $250 million in loans in 6 months, with potential for $300-$500 million annually.
  • Loan production increased to $2.3 billion year-to-date, up $600 million from prior year.
  • Management focused on organic growth via LPOs and verticals, with no near-term M&A plans.
  • Net interest margin expected to improve 3-5 basis points quarterly in near term.
  • Allowance for credit losses decreased slightly due to runoff of qualitative factor.
  • Credit quality remains stable with criticized and classified loans at 3.2%.
  • Deposit competition remains stable with no intensification observed recently.
  • FDIC insurance expense increased due to larger asset base post-acquisition.
  • Federal Home Loan Bank borrowings decreased by $475 million sequentially.
  • Healthcare claims elevated by $1 million over baseline due to high-dollar claimants.
  • Raised $230 million Series B preferred stock to redeem Series A preferred and sub debt.
  • Regulatory capital ratios remain above well-capitalized standards with recent preferred stock issuance.
  • Branch optimization includes 80 closures since 2020, focusing on proximity and customer impact.
  • Capital build mode prioritized over share repurchases in current environment.
  • Deposit growth driven by core deposits, with strategic runoff of higher-cost CDs.
  • Digital banking enhancements are a key part of customer experience strategy.
  • Efficiency ratio improvement driven by Premier acquisition synergies and expense management.
  • Loan growth is supported by record commercial gross loan production year-to-date.
  • Management anticipates positive operating leverage and shareholder value enhancement.
  • New markets and LPOs contribute significantly to pipeline and loan production.
Complete Transcript:
WSBC:2025 - Q3
Operator:
Good day, and welcome to WesBanco Inc.'s Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to John Iannone, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead. John H.
John H. Iannone:
Thank you. Good afternoon, and welcome to Wesbanco Inc.'s Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. Leading the call today are Jeff Jackson, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Dan Weiss, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Today's call, an archive of which will be available on our website for 1 year, contains forward-looking information. Cautionary statements about this information and reconciliations of non-GAAP measures are included in our earnings related materials issued yesterday afternoon as well as our other SEC filings and investor materials. These materials are available on the Investor Relations section of our website, wesbanco.com. All statements speak only as of October 23, 2025, and WesBanco undertakes no obligation to update them. I would now like to turn the call over to Jeff. Jeff?
Jeffrey Jackson:
Thanks, John, and good afternoon. On today's call, we will provide an overview on operational efforts and third quarter results as well as provide an update on our outlook for 2025. Key takeaways from the call today are: earnings per share of $0.94 when excluding merger-related charges, which was highlighted by loan growth funded by deposit growth, a net interest margin of [ 3.53 ] and year-over-year fee income growth of 52%. Continued success in our newest markets as demonstrated by growing pipelines and strong customer satisfaction. Commitment to operational excellence in support of profitable long-term growth and enhancing shareholder value. Our third quarter results demonstrate the successful integration of Premier and continued operational discipline. Despite elevated commercial real estate payoffs, we delivered strong loan growth fully funded by deposit growth. while meaningfully expanding our net interest margin and fee income. Combined with our focus on cost control, these efforts drove positive operating leverage and an improved efficiency ratio in the mid-50s. For the quarter ending September 30, 2025, we reported net income excluding merger and restructuring expenses of $90 million and diluting earnings per share of $0.94, an increase of 68% year-over-year. On a similar basis, our third quarter return on average assets and tangible equity improved to 1.3% and 17.5%, respectively. Our efficiency ratio improved 10 percentage points year-over-year to 55% due to expense synergies generated from the Premier acquisition as well as a continued focus on expense management and driving positive operating leverage. Our strong growth in fee revenue was driven by organic growth across our businesses, especially wealth management and our larger post-acquisition customer base. Turning to operational topics. We are pleased to share that customer satisfaction in our newest markets has rebounded even faster than we expected following the Premier acquisition. While a temporary dip is typical during conversions and integrations. Our team anticipated the challenge and proactively put plans in place to support service and quality and customer trust. Today, satisfaction scores in those markets are back to pre-conversion levels. And our overall customer satisfaction across all markets is in the upper 80 percentile level, well above the industry average. This reflects the strength of our integration strategy and the dedication and skill of our teams. That same operational discipline is reflected in our deposit performance. Our annual deposit campaign launched in third quarter is once again delivering strong results. Total deposits grew organically across our footprint by more than $570 million year-over-year and $130 million sequentially, fully funding our organic loan growth. Importantly, this momentum was driven by core deposit categories, not higher cost certificates of deposit, which we have strategically allowed to run down. We have continued to see a pickup in commercial real estate payoffs, which totaled $235 million during the third quarter and caused a nearly 1.5% headwind to loan growth. Reflecting this headwind, third quarter organic loan growth was 4.8% year-over-year and 2.2% quarter-over-quarter annualized. Encouragingly, total commercial loan growth continues to be solid as our teams take advantage of our record pipeline. As of both September 30 and mid-October, our commercial loan pipeline stood at approximately $1.5 billion with more than 40% tied to new markets and loan production offices. Notably, our new Knoxville LPO is already contributing meaningfully, accounting for 5% of the total pipeline. Given the current loan pipeline and CRE payoff headwind, we continue to expect mid-single-digit year-over-year loan growth during 2025. This strong pipeline continues to translate into meaningful wins, including in our newest markets. In one of our premier markets, we secured a major deal with a national motorcycle manufacturer looking to acquire additional dealerships on a tight time line. Thanks to strategic collaboration across commercial banking, treasury management and retail, our team delivered a tailored package of solutions ahead of schedule. The result was an 8-figure loan, 7-figure deposits and additional treasury and swap products. This is a terrific example of how we collaborate to deepen banking relationships and deliver exceptional customer experiences. Our mission is to deliver financial solutions that empower our customers for success while maintaining operational efficiency. To that end, we continue to optimize our financial center network in support of evolving customer preferences and long-term growth. This strategy includes streamlining existing locations continuing to enhance our digital banking capabilities and selectively opening new financial centers or refreshing existing ones within our footprint. Following the strong performance of our Chattanooga loan production office, which has grown to over $200 million in loans in just 2 years. We received regulatory approval to open our full first service financial center in Tennessee. This new location will simplify deposit gathering and deepen client relationships. We are also opening a new center in Alliance, Ohio, where we see strong growth potential. Both centers are expected to open in the first quarter of next year. At the same time, we are streamlining our footprint to ensure efficiency and responsiveness. After a thorough review of our customer behavior and banking preferences, market conditions and proximity to existing centers, we made the decision to close 27 financial centers across our legacy markets. none of which are related to the Premier acquisition. More than 75% of these closures are within 10 miles of another location and deposit attrition is expected to be minimal. These closures bring our total since 2020 to 80 closed financial centers and are expected to generate approximately $6 million in net pretax annual savings. By focusing on the right locations, facilities and customer experiences, we are positioning WesBanco for sustainable growth and exceptional service across all markets. I would now like to turn the call over to Dan Weiss, our CFO, for details on our third quarter financial results and our current outlook for the fourth quarter of 2025. Dan?
Daniel Weiss:
Yes. Thanks, Jeff, and good afternoon. For the quarter ending September 30, 2025. We reported GAAP net income available to common shareholders of $81 million or $0.84 per share. And when excluding restructuring and merger-related expenses, third quarter net income was $90 million or $0.94 per share, representing an increase of nearly 150% from the $36.3 million or $0.56 per share in the prior year period. On a similar basis, and excluding the after-tax day 1 provision for credit losses on acquired loans, we reported $2.55 per diluted share for the 9-month period as compared to $1.61 per diluted share last year. To highlight a few of the third quarter's accomplishments we generated strong year-over-year pretax pre-provision core earnings growth of nearly 130%. We funded loan growth with deposits and on a year-over-year basis, improved the net interest margin by 58 basis points, grew fee income 52% and reduced the efficiency ratio by 10 percentage points. Our balance sheet as of September 30 reflects the benefits of both the premier acquired balance sheet and organic growth. Total assets of $27.5 billion increased 49% year-over-year and included total portfolio loans of $18.9 billion in total securities of $4.4 million. Total portfolio loans increased 52% year-over-year due to the acquired PFC loans of $5.9 billion and organic growth of $594 million, driven by the commercial teams. Commercial real estate payoffs have continued to increase and totaled approximately $235 million during the third quarter of '25 and $490 million on a year-to-date basis, more than 2.5x the prior year-to-date period and currently projecting them to be near $800 million for the year. Despite this headwind, we remain optimistic about future loan growth with our strong pipeline banking teams and markets, combined with more than $1 billion in unfunded land construction and development commitments expected to fit to fund over the next 18 months. And in fact, we've achieved record commercial gross loan production through the first 9 months of the year. Deposits increased 53.8% year-over-year to $21.3 billion due to the acquired PFC deposits of $6.9 billion and organic growth of $573 million, which fully funded loan growth. On a sequential quarter basis, total deposits increased $130 million due to the efforts of our consumer and business teams more than offsetting the intentional runoff of $50 million of higher cost brokered deposits and less reliance on public funds acquired from PSC Credit quality continues to remain stable as key credit quality metrics remain low from a historical perspective. And within a consistent range over the last 5 years, as expected, criticized and classified loans decreased during the third quarter to 3.2% through a combination of credit upgrades and loan payoffs, the allowance for credit losses to total loans at September 30 was 1.15% of total loans or $217.7 million, a decrease of $6.2 million from June 30, 2025, was primarily driven by the runoff of a $5 million qualitative factor that was established in 2023 to capture elevated interest rate risk, which ultimately more than offset increases associated with slightly higher unemployment assumptions and loan growth. The third quarter net interest margin of 3.53% improved 58 basis points on a year-over-year basis through a combination of higher loan and security yields and lower funding costs. As I mentioned last quarter, our net interest margin declined 6 basis points sequentially as the CD book from PFC matured and repriced partially offset by our core margin improvement of 3 basis points. Deposit funding costs of 256 basis points for the third quarter decreased 29 basis points from the prior year period. And when including noninterest-bearing deposits, deposit funding costs for the third quarter were 192 basis points. For the third quarter of 2025, noninterest income of $44.9 million increased 51.5% year-over-year due primarily to the acquisition of Premier. With combined premier fee income, we again set record highs this quarter in several fee income categories, including trustees, service charges on deposits and electronic banking fees, we also saw a nice improvement in gross swap fees, which increased $2.1 million year-over-year to $3.2 million in the third quarter, reflecting both the interest rate environment and traction within our newest markets. Noninterest expense, excluding restructuring and merger-related costs for the 3 months ended September 30, 2025, was $144.8 million an increase of 46% year-over-year due to the addition of Premier's expense base, higher core deposit intangible asset amortization that was created from the acquisition and higher FDIC insurance expense due to the larger asset size. Salaries and wages of $60.6 million and employee benefits of $18 million each increased year-over-year due to higher staffing levels and higher health insurance costs, but were consistent with the second quarter as staffing reductions offset the full quarter impact of annual merit increases. Health care during the third quarter continued to be somewhat elevated by about $1 million over our baseline projections for the quarter due to larger-than-normal claims driven by a few high dollar claimants compared to historical claim experience and general increases in health care costs. We've incurred restructuring and merger-related expenses of $11.4 million during the quarter, which included approximately $7 million of charges from the disposition of assets and lease terminations associated with the planned closure of 27 financial centers with the remaining $4 million associated with the Premier merger. We anticipate incurring additional personnel-related restructuring charges here from the closure during the fourth quarter, while nearly all of the merger-related expenses from PFC have been recognized. Our regulatory capital ratios have remained above the applicable well capitalized standards. On September 10, we raised $230 million of Series B preferred stock which will be used to redeem the $150 million of outstanding Series A preferred stock on November 15 and $50 million of sub debt acquired from PFC later in the fourth quarter with the remaining net proceeds to be used for general corporate purposes. Reflecting the new Series B preferred stock, which is considered Tier 1 capital we realized sequential quarter improvement across all of our capital ratios. And when we use the proceeds to redeem the Series A preferred stock and sub debt, we anticipate our fourth quarter CET1 ratio to continue to build 15 to 20 basis points per quarter, while Tier 1 risk-based capital to decline approximately 50 basis points from the third quarter, reflecting the redemption of the Series A preferred stock. Turning to our current outlook for the fourth quarter. And as a note, we will provide our outlook for 2026, during our January earnings call. We are currently modeling a 25 basis point Fed rate cut in October, However, given our relatively neutral rate sensitive position, we do not expect a meaningful impact on our net interest margin from this or the September cut here in the nearer term. We anticipate our net interest margin to rebound during the fourth quarter to the mid- to high 3.50s, reflecting continued improvement in funding costs, fixed asset repricing and loan growth. And while trust fees and securities brokerage revenue are subject to equity and fixed income market valuations, we anticipate noninterest income and noninterest expense to remain relatively consistent with our third quarter trends -- and we expect the planned closure of the 27 financial centers to occur late January with a pretax annual savings of approximately $6 million to begin thereafter. During the fourth quarter, we anticipate preferred stock dividends to total approximately $13 million, which includes the Series A dividend of $2.5 million the Series A redemption premium of $5.5 million and the new Series B dividend of $4.9 million. And lastly, the provision for credit losses will mostly be dependent upon loan growth economic factors and charge-offs. And of course, our effective tax rate should be in that 19.5% range for the year. So we are excited to see positive momentum from the continued margin improvement, our financial center optimization strategy and continued growth in our new markets as well as the organic growth and expansion opportunities that lie ahead. So with that, operator, we are now ready to take questions. Would you please review the instructions?
Operator:
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Karl Sheppard with RBC Capital Markets.
Karl Shepard:
I guess I'll start with you. I think it seems like you're very happy with the production in pipeline for loan growth, but CRE paydowns is still kind of a bit of a headwind. Just help us understand maybe what you're seeing for production a little bit more -- and then what's the path for pay downs maybe? I hate to use the word normalizing, but coming back down a little bit and driving a little stronger overall growth.
Jeffrey Jackson:
Yes, sure. Very, very pleased with the production. I think if you look at just year-over-year, I can give you a couple of numbers through third quarter. So third quarter last year, we did about $1.7 billion in new production. This year, we've done $2.3 billion. So almost basically $600 million more we've done this year. And so the pipelines are really strong, about $1.5 billion and have remained strong. And so I believe that we should have a really strong fourth quarter. We should hit the mid-single-digit loan growth target that we've set out for this year. As far as pay downs, some of it looks at -- in the third quarter were things we wanted to pay down. If you didn't notice our CNC came down 50 basis points. A lot of that was pay downs that we had requested. So feel very good about that. I think when we look into the fourth quarter, we could see another couple of hundred million in pay downs in the fourth quarter. But looking over a normalized period of time, I would say it's going to be on an annualized basis would be in that $400 million to $600 million, $700 million range on a full year basis. This year, we should be -- we might be touching $800 million to $900 million on an annualized basis. Once again, fourth quarter, we don't know exactly. But I would say our pipelines are very strong. We feel very good about mid-single-digit loan growth for the remainder of this year. And next year, we are still looking at mid- to upper single-digit loan growth.
Karl Shepard:
Okay. That's very helpful. And then, Dan, 1 for you. On the margin, I think it came in right where you were expecting this quarter, but I just wanted to check to see, are you still thinking 3 to 5 basis points of quarterly expansion in the core -- and is there anything kind of out in '26 that we should think about that might disrupt that trajectory?
Daniel Weiss:
Yes, Karl, I do feel very good about that 3 to 5 basis points of continued improvement. So I don't -- we're not providing much guidance here on 2026. But outside of what I provided last quarter, which feel good for the next couple of quarters, to see continued margin improvement. And of course, for our purposes today, we're modeling a 25 basis point cut here next week as well as 1 cut in each of the next 3 quarters thereafter. So that's kind of where we see it there. The 1 thing I would note, and this is baked into the 3 to 5 basis points of margin expansion. But you'll notice that our Federal Home Loan Bank borrowings are down $475 million versus the second quarter, which is great. I would point out that the $230 million in capital that we raised $150 million of that $230 million will be used to pay off the Series A preferred. And so that effectively will be borrowing back from the Federal Home Loan Bank of that $150 million. And then, of course, at the very end of the year, we'll have the $50 million of sub debt premier but we'll be paying off and absent normalized deposit growth, we would anticipate to see that Federal Loan Bank borrowing balance to be up probably a couple of hundred million dollars.
Operator:
Our next question comes from Catherine Mealor with KBW.
Catherine Mealor:
Just go to ask on expenses. It was nice to see the announcement for the branch closures. I know you're not giving '26 guidance yet, but is there -- can you help us just kind of frame at least as a base how you think about the impact of branch closures kind of offsetting new hires and just kind of what organic loan growth could look like, trying to at least frame up the expense trajectory and potentially more operating leverage and profitability improvement as we get into '26?
Jeffrey Jackson:
Yes. As far as the loan growth, I'll start out and I'll let Dan talk about the expense base. We feel very good about mid- to upper single digits and loan growth. And a lot of that is obviously driven by our premier markets that are getting ramped up. I would also say our new health care vertical and then our LPOs. Our LPOs are just operating at a tremendous level Tennessee ones of Chattanooga and Knoxville and Nashville, Indianapolis is doing a great job as well. And then Northern Virginia has really taken off. So we feel very good about those prospects on the loan growth piece. I'll let Dan talk more about the expense base.
Daniel Weiss:
Yes. I would say once again, just to kind of reiterate, we're still in the process of finalizing our budgets and forecasts here for 2026 and we'll provide some more guidance at the end of the year. But I would say, certainly, 0.7 branches, there's going to be a tailwind to expenses heading into heading into '26 as a result. So I think that provides some opportunity potentially for reinvestment in technology, people, process and technology. But we certainly also make sure that we are recognizing that expense benefit to the bottom line as well. So pretty excited about where that -- where we're at there.
Jeffrey Jackson:
And just to add on it just to add on briefly. As you know, we are always looking to optimize the branch network, and we'll continue to look at that in the future as well.
Catherine Mealor:
Got it. And so it's fair to assume though, without giving targets that the efficiency ratio should continue to improve as we move through '26.
Daniel Weiss:
Yes. That would be our model today.
Operator:
Our next question comes from Dave Bishop with Homsey.
David Bishop:
You noted the health care team, I think you noted there's some opportunity to grow that portfolio pretty materially. Any way to ringfest how big the opportunity is there from that new team you hire?
Jeffrey Jackson:
I would say, currently, I believe they've closed about $250 million in loans and brought in about around $80 million in deposits and closed about, I believe, about $2 million in fees. So -- and they've been here approximately 6 months. So if you extrapolate that out, you can kind of look at next year, potentially they could do anywhere from $300 million to $500 million in loans on an annual basis. Very excited about that team. We're looking to grow that team. And it could be larger than that, but that's what I kind of pencil in today.
David Bishop:
Got it. I noted the increase in average deposit cost on a sequential basis. Was that purely a function of the purchase accounting impact and how aggressive you think you can lead on into these Fed rate cuts?
Daniel Weiss:
Exactly. It has all to do with what we described last quarter and that being the temporary nature of the CDs that we had acquired 7-month CD specials that were effectively rolling off and don't expect that to see that repeat. That's behind us at this point.
Operator:
Our next question comes from Russell Gunther with Stephens.
Russell Elliott Gunther:
I appreciate all the color on the capital actions taken this quarter. It would be helpful to just get a reminder as to where you would plan to kind of manage capital levels to going forward, be it TCE or CET1. And then just any updated thoughts as to how you're thinking about the potential to reverse the CECL double now.
Daniel Weiss:
Yes, sure. Great question. I'll take that. So from a CET1 standpoint, I would say our internal targets are kind of between that [ 10.5% ] and 11%. And we're growing CET1 about 15 to 20 basis points per quarter, and that's what we're kind of projecting here. over the next several quarters. I would tell you, and as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, that we do have a little extra total risk-based capital with the duplication of the Series A and Series B, the Series A being temporary. It will go back down about 50 basis points. But if you compare it off of the second quarter, we will still be up 70 basis points on total risk-based capital. So excited there as well. As it relates to the CECL double count at this point, we're still evaluating -- but unlikely -- really the FASB has to issue the ASU before we could really make any determination. But I would say the more time that passes, probably the less likely that we would do something there.
Russell Elliott Gunther:
Got it. Okay. And then last question here would be just use of excess capital going forward and any appetite for buyback around the current level?
Daniel Weiss:
Yes. So I would say right now, we're still -- we continue to be in a capital build mode -- and as you know, Russell, buyback is typically on the lower end of the spectrum in terms of priorities. So today, I would say certainly less likely in the near term for buyback.
Jeffrey Jackson:
Yes, I was just going to say really focused on capital build back and then obviously, that would go toward dividends and really loan growth.
Russell Elliott Gunther:
Excellent. If I could sneak 1 in, in terms of you gave us some incremental color on the health care vertical. It sounds like a good runway there. Anything kind of adjacent or similar vertical add-ons you would contemplate down the road?
Jeffrey Jackson:
At this point, we're just really focused on health care and then also the LPO strategy. That's really working incredibly well, would potentially look to other cities end markets to continue to expand there. We talk about different verticals, but at this point, nothing really to share right now.
Operator:
Our next question comes from Daniel Tamayo with Raymond James.
Daniel Tamayo:
Maybe first on the deposit side. So obviously, you had the impact from the premier CDs repricing. It looked like money market and savings deposit rates were up a bit in the quarter as well. Just curious the type of deposit competition that you're seeing, if you can kind of size it for us from a relative perspective, it's gotten more intense or still somewhat similar to what you saw in the prior quarter.
Daniel Weiss:
Yes, I would say it's pretty similar to what we've been seeing over the last several quarters, not expecting and not seeing anything intensify. And -- but I would say with CRE paying off in general, I do think that, that could provide some relief on deposit pricing in general.
David Bishop:
Okay. That's helpful. And then maybe for you, Jeff, you just touched on it a little bit with your comments on the appetite to continue the LPO strategy and perhaps into new markets as well. But just curious if you have any overall thoughts as, I guess, post your capital build when your target that you want to be at where does M&A fit in and relative to the LPO strategy do those 2 things have to be separate? Or can you do both?
Jeffrey Jackson:
Yes. Right now, I would say we're totally focused on LPOs and verticals and growing our organic business. So that's where we're totally focused at right now. And we feel like we've got a great growth runway just to do this organically. I can't tell you how proud I am of the team and how excited I am about the LPOs and -- what's amazing is we've had a lot of great people that we've been able to hire and that has turned into more people and people hearing about our brands as we expand south and expand West. And so we feel like we've just got a lot of great organic opportunities for us. that we're really going to be focused on in the next year plus. So that's really where our focus is today.
Operator:
This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Jeff Jackson, CEO, for any closing remarks.
Jeffrey Jackson:
Thank you. We are continuing to deliver meaningful improvement in our financial metrics and strategic positioning to deliver enhanced shareholder value, highlighted by third quarter earnings per share of $0.94. The strong customer satisfaction scores and continued optimization efforts. We remain focused on driving positive operating leverage through sustainable long-term growth. Thank you for joining us today, and we look forward to speaking with you at one of our upcoming investor events. Have a great day.
Operator:
The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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